The paper econometrically analyzes financial market manipulation. The method (following Minenna, 2005; Comerton-Forde and Putŋinš, 2011) estimates, through ARIMA(1,1,q) models, expected values of key variables (e.g. returns, volume, static and dynamic market concentration), verifying whether they lay between estimated confidence intervals, prompting “alert” in the opposite case. We consider FIAT stock manipulation as case study, in which Consob has verified (ex post) abnormal return on April 6, 2001.
LA MANIPOLAZIONE DEI MERCATI FINANZIARI: TECNICA DI ANALISI E IL CASO FIAT
	
	
	
		
		
		
		
		
	
	
	
	
	
	
	
	
		
		
		
		
		
			
			
			
		
		
		
		
			
			
				
				
					
					
					
					
						
							
						
						
					
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
			
			
		
			
			
				
				
					
					
					
					
						
							
						
						
					
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
				
			
			
		
		
		
		
	
Busato Francesco
;CARRATU', MARIA
			2017-01-01
Abstract
The paper econometrically analyzes financial market manipulation. The method (following Minenna, 2005; Comerton-Forde and Putŋinš, 2011) estimates, through ARIMA(1,1,q) models, expected values of key variables (e.g. returns, volume, static and dynamic market concentration), verifying whether they lay between estimated confidence intervals, prompting “alert” in the opposite case. We consider FIAT stock manipulation as case study, in which Consob has verified (ex post) abnormal return on April 6, 2001.File in questo prodotto:
	
	
	
    
	
	
	
	
	
	
	
	
		
			
				
			
		
		
	
	
	
	
		
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