The aim of this paper is to analyze the spatio-temporal trend of unemployment rates in the Italian provinces by using spatial econometrics tools. For this purpose, we investigate the existence of contemporary and non-contemporary spatial dependence in unemployment ratest by employing ESDA (Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis) and ESTDA (Exploratory Space-Time Data Analysis) techniques. Our results show that: unemployment is a phenomenon characterized by space-time persistence; a shock in the unemployment rate, which occurs in the past and in a given province, produces its effects in the present in the neighbouring provinces. As a consequence, economic policy measures addressed to the province where the shock is generated are not sufficient to tackle the problem since unemployment is neither a localized or a temporary phenomenon.
Dipendenza spaziale contemporanea e non contemporanea nei tassi di disoccupazione: un tentativo di analisi empirica dei dati provinciali italiani
GAROFALO, Antonio
2013-01-01
Abstract
The aim of this paper is to analyze the spatio-temporal trend of unemployment rates in the Italian provinces by using spatial econometrics tools. For this purpose, we investigate the existence of contemporary and non-contemporary spatial dependence in unemployment ratest by employing ESDA (Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis) and ESTDA (Exploratory Space-Time Data Analysis) techniques. Our results show that: unemployment is a phenomenon characterized by space-time persistence; a shock in the unemployment rate, which occurs in the past and in a given province, produces its effects in the present in the neighbouring provinces. As a consequence, economic policy measures addressed to the province where the shock is generated are not sufficient to tackle the problem since unemployment is neither a localized or a temporary phenomenon.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
