The aim of this paper is to analyze the spatio-temporal trend of unemployment rates in the Italian provinces by using spatial econometrics tools. For this purpose, we investigate the existence of contemporary and non-contemporary spatial dependence in unemployment ratest by employing ESDA (Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis) and ESTDA (Exploratory Space-Time Data Analysis) techniques. Our results show that: unemployment is a phenomenon characterized by space-time persistence; a shock in the unemployment rate, which occurs in the past and in a given province, produces its effects in the present in the neighbouring provinces. As a consequence, economic policy measures addressed to the province where the shock is generated are not sufficient to tackle the problem since unemployment is neither a localized or a temporary phenomenon.

Dipendenza spaziale contemporanea e non contemporanea nei tassi di disoccupazione: un tentativo di analisi empirica dei dati provinciali italiani

GAROFALO, Antonio
2013-01-01

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to analyze the spatio-temporal trend of unemployment rates in the Italian provinces by using spatial econometrics tools. For this purpose, we investigate the existence of contemporary and non-contemporary spatial dependence in unemployment ratest by employing ESDA (Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis) and ESTDA (Exploratory Space-Time Data Analysis) techniques. Our results show that: unemployment is a phenomenon characterized by space-time persistence; a shock in the unemployment rate, which occurs in the past and in a given province, produces its effects in the present in the neighbouring provinces. As a consequence, economic policy measures addressed to the province where the shock is generated are not sufficient to tackle the problem since unemployment is neither a localized or a temporary phenomenon.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11367/21016
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